Follow the Lead of the Market

My column from this week’s Tennessean:

Gathering accurate information about potential customers is essential for developing an effective business plan.

Learn how your customers make the decision on whether or not to buy your product.

Determine the key decision-making criteria they will use to choose your product over your competitors’. It does not matter what you think they should consider in the decision — all that matters is what the customers think and how they actually make their choice.

So how do you gather information about what your potential customers prefer? You need to get out and talk to them, observe them, or whatever it takes to learn how to think like they do.

Also, gather information about how well your competitors are satisfying these customers. You can gather this information by talking to customers, visiting your competitors’ businesses, interviewing suppliers and meeting with others in the industry.

Entrepreneurs typically rely heavily on their business plans when the time comes to launch their new venture. It is a plan that they may have agonized over for weeks, months or years. They have done their research, creating a carefully thought-out business that justifies their financial forecasts. But then a funny thing happens. They assumed in their business plan that the market wanted “A.” But if they listen carefully to the customer, they often find out that the customer really wants “B.”

Switch; don’t fight

One of my former students, Matt Meents, is a case in point.

His Minneapolis-based company, Reside LLC, originally was set up to build high-end Web sites for the real estate industry. They had conducted extensive research and thought they understood the right market for their services.

Although they did land some real estate firms as clients, the market soon began to tell them that there was a wider market for what they offered beyond real estate.

Other types of business contacted them to see if they could do similar services for their businesses. They listened to this information from the market and significantly broadened their target market. As a result of this change, Reside LLC has seen significant growth every year.

If Matt had rigidly followed his original plans, his company would never have grown the way it has. The market wanted to help Reside LLC grow, but Matt had to be willing to listen to what it really wanted and shift his plans.

I call this learning to “dance with the market.” And you should be ready to let your customers lead in this dance.

The need to listen to the market never really ends. Markets are dynamic, so you need to be ready to follow where they lead.

Growth Conference

Inc. is putting on a conference for growing companies called GROWCO.

GROWCO happens on Wednesday, March 18, 2009, through Friday, March 20, 2009, at the JW Marriott Orlando in Florida. For more information or to register, visit http://www.growcoconference.com, or call 877.209.5412
 
This year, GROWCO will focus on how to:

  • Grow when money is tight. In this economy, everyone’s feeling the pinch. GROWCO will show you how to expand without overextending.
  • Find money you already have. Sometimes your assets aren’t immediately obvious. Meet some creative entrepreneurs who discovered cash in their companies, and learn how.
  • Poach talent. A lot of your competitors are currently laying off staff. Now is the time to invest in your work force. Our speakers will show you how to invest without breaking the bank.
  • Learn the magic number. At a time like this, watching your financial statements is crucial. Our speakers will teach you how to decipher the numbers to avoid the worst.
  • Find funding. You need them to say yes, but the banks and VCs are saying no. GROWCO will show you how to approach sources for capital.


Speakers at GROWCO include:

  • Ram Charan, an accomplished author, acclaimed consultant, and former professor. Ram can count Jack Welsh as one of his biggest fans.
  • Jack Mitchell, recently celebrated his family business’s 50th anniversary. Warren Buffett said everyone would be better off if we followed Jack’s advice.
  • Norm Brodsky, serial entrepreneur, author, and columnist for Inc. magazine. Norm is the founder of seven businesses, including a three-time Inc. 500 company.
  • Tom Wujec, thought-leader and award-winning technology innovator, author of three books on creative thinking. 

Strategies for 2009

So now that 2009 is underway, what is the best way to strategically position an entrepreneurial venture?

Kristin Wehner writes at Entrepreneur.com about the need to move away from exploiting specific opportunities, what she calls a “hunter”, and become more of an “explorer.”

As the new year unfolds, try donning your explorer’s cap. View the upcoming year with the curiosity and excitement of an adventurer embarking on new terrain. Is your business where you want it to be? Do your daily practices for cultivating your health support your professional goals? How about your personal goals?

How are you supporting or sabotaging your ability to achieve those goals? What untapped potential is within you? The answers lie in an assessment of your company’s health capital.

Bootstrapping will be key to survival in 2009, according to Mike Stull at the dailybulletin.com:

While economic chaos brings great opportunity for savvy entrepreneurs, how can one launch and grow a business in times when credit is crunched?

One possible approach is bootstrapping – starting a business where the primary funding comes from the cash flow generated by selling your product or service. A bootstrapped business starts with investment from the founder (and possibly close friends and family).

In addition to paying close attention to cash flow and collections, Tom Taulli at Blogging Stocks thinks now is time to find a good advisor to help navigate the troubled waters ahead.

It’s critical that you get an outside perspective — especially from someone who has experienced tough economic periods. To this end, you can go to a local SCORE (Counselors to America’s Small Business) office. The organization consists of thousands of former executives — and, importantly, the resource is free.

If you are what I call a reluctant entrepreneur, someone who suddenly is thrust into self-employment due to corporate downsizing, this article at the New York Times offers advice on both positioning and tactics you will want to follow this year.

It’s likely that as in past recessions, many new small businesses will be created in the coming year as laid off workers rethink their careers. How will these businesses survive, along with all the other small businesses already struggling out there? Only by being cunning and cost smart say experts in business and entrepreneurship.

Finally, if you have been sitting on the fence about becoming an entrepreneur, Marc Kramer at TheStreet.com thinks it is less risky to start a business than to put your trust in a traditional corporate job.

When I graduated from college in 1982, interest rates were in the high teens and companies were beginning to treat employees not as family, but as disposable parts. I watched friends’ fathers lose longtime jobs and wonder how they were going to support their families. They felt betrayed, as if their wife had left them for another man.

Even out of college, at the tail end of the paternal corporate employer, the real risk-takers, at least from my perspective, were the people who worked for one company. It was like buying one stock and believing that stock was going to grow and support you in retirement. There’s little worse, especially for a man, than losing your job, if your self-worth is tied up in your work. Your identity is based on who you work for and your position.

Being an entrepreneur means no one can fire you.

Ending with a Whimper

For small business owners, 2008 ended with a whimper.  The National Federation of Independent Business Small Business Optimism Index fell 2.6 points to 85.2, the second lowest reading in the 35-year history of the survey. 

Owners were hoping consumers would ride to the rescue, but that did not happen.  “Unless there is a solid turnaround in January, we are in for a longer-than-usual recession,” said NFIB Chief Economist William Dunkelberg.

Here are some of the highlights (or should I say low-lights) of the last survey of small business owners for 2008:

Employment — Average employment per firm declined 0.86 workers (seasonally adjusted), the largest monthly decline in survey history.  On the bright side, forty percent of owners hired or tried to hire (down three points from November), and 75 percent of those trying to hire reported few or no qualified applicants for the job openings they were trying to fill.  Now the bad news – over the next three months, only 8 percent plan to create new jobs. However, this is still not the worst recession since the Great Depression, as so many in the media are claiming.  There were lower employment readings in both the 1974-75 and the 1980-82 recession periods. 

Capital Spending — Small business owners are deferring any project not essential to the survival of the firm.

 “In this uncertain environment,” said Dunkelberg, “owners are postponing any capital projects that are not essential to the operation of the firm – or that they can’t afford or can’t finance.”  

Inventories and Sales — Small business owners continued to liquidate inventories.  The net percent of owners expecting gains in real sales volumes fell to a net-negative 18 points (down four points) seasonally adjusted. 

EarningsProfit gains deteriorated another four points to a negative 42 percent, a record low.  A year ago, reports of positive profit trends were 22 points better! 

Public Lecture and Workshop

My co-author Mike Naughton will be coming to Nashville later this month.  There are two public events we will be hosting at Belmont University on our book, Bringing Your Business to Life.

 

Please join us for the Lecture, open to the public, on Tuesday January 27th  – Gordon Inman Center,  4th floor – Frist Lecture Hall –  4:30pm reception and 5:00pm address.

Click here to register for the lecture

 

Don’t miss the Workshop on Wednesday January 28th from 7:30am-11:00am.  There is a $50 registration fee.  Click here to download the workshop registration form.

Small Business Employment Tumbles in December

According to today’s ADP Small Business Report small-size businesses lost 281,000 jobs in December, the largest decline in small-size business employment recorded by the ADP Small Business Report since the beginning of the ADP National Employment Report dataset in December 2000.

 

The ADP Small Business Report is a subset of the ADP National Employment Report:

 

  • Total small business employment: -281,000
  • Goods-producing sector: -80,000 small business jobs
  • Service-providing sector: -201,000 small business jobs

“Mouse Potatoes” and “Deskfast” Enter the Lexicon

Face it — we entrepreneurs have a high need for control.  And when we feel like we are not in control of our worlds we more often than not fall into the wierd behavior of working more and more hours.  It is not that we get more things done — it just feels like we do.

Many of the legendary 80-90 hour weeks are just our attempt to keep really busy, hoping that if we keep busy enough things will get better.

As you can imagine, there is a lot of nervous busy work going on with entrepreneurs these days.

As always, there is a new buzz word for this pattern of behavior. 

In a new small business survey by Staples they report that 62% of small business owners admit that they are transforming into “mouse potatoes” (i.e., constantly on the computer).  One in five report replacing breakfast with “deskfast” in an attempt to “maximize time.”

Although I worry about the mental health of these entrepreneurs, it does seem to help them feel better about things.  A whopping 84% anticipate being able to weather the current economic storm and plan to be in the same business a year from now.

My only caution is this — Don’t become such a mouse potato that you lose your family and your friends.  Temperance, my good friends, temperance!

Bloblive in San Diego!

I had the pleasure of having dinner with the ideablob.com people last night.  They are driving down to San Diego for another Blob Live event.  It will be held tonight at Henry’s Pub from 6:00-9:00 p.m. PST.

The ideablob folks have toured Seattle, Chicago, Philadelphia, and Nashville bringing business idea sharing live to the masses.  We had a great time when we hosted the Nashville event at Belmont.

If you can’t make it live to San Diego you can watch a live streaming video starting at 7:00 p.m. PST via Twitter stream #bloblive.  http://www.bloblive.com 

A Reflection on Educating Entrepreneurs in Interesting Times

 

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I am heading off to Anaheim, CA to the annual meeting of the United States Association for Small Business and Entrepreneurship (USASBE), which is the leading organization for those of us who teach entrepreneurship.  This year I will be installed as President-elect of USASBE.  These are, to say the least, interesting times for the world of entrepreneurship.

Over the past year I have written about the challenges entrepreneurs face in these difficult times.  While there are still many opportunities that can be exploited in the marketplace, it will require entrepreneurs to be nimble and prudent, patient and humble.

So how should those of us in education approach the task of preparing today and tomorrow’s entrepreneurs?

Realism.  There is a trend in teaching entrepreneurship to interject more experiential learning.  This is a very unforgiving economy right now.  In the past, we saw countless entrepreneurs who seemed to be able to succeed in spite of themselves.  In a recession like this one, there is little room for error and not as much luck floating around.  We need to prepare our students well to hit the ground running.  The more we can build experience into what we do in our entrepreneurship programs the better.  Our students must have a high degree of competence the day they walk across the stage at graduation and become alumni.

Ethics.  There is a growing backlash against the arrogance and gluttony of business leaders.  In preparing the business leaders who will most likely lead us out of this mess, we need to help them understand their responsibility as stewards of the resources they have been given to work within their ventures.  But, I believe that they have an even bigger responsibility.  We need them to become stewards of the free market system.  Market capitalism as we know it is under intense scrutiny due to the foibles of so many business leaders.   We have to regain the people’s trust in free markets.  We must train not only competent entrepreneurs, but good entrepreneurs.

Inspire.  If past patterns hold true, we can expect more students looking to entrepreneurship as a career path.  They look at the job market and see very little opportunity, so they turn to us to find their own way in the economy.  We will no longer have only self-motivated, highly driven aspiring entrepreneurs in our classrooms.  We will have many more who are reluctant entrepreneurs.  More than in the past we will have to inspire our students that there are opportunities and that they do have what it takes to be successful.

I look forward to reconnecting this week with my USASBE friends and colleagues as we tackle the challenges we face in preparing our students to help lead us out of these difficult times.

Merry Christmas

 

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A CHRISTMAS PRAYER
by Marty Robbins

Dear Lord I want to thank you
for what You’ve done for me
For all these many blessings
In a world that’s caught in grief and misery
No matter where I wander
I ‘m always in Your site
and so my thanks to You, My Lord
upon this Christmas Night

If all my prayers aren’t answered
then Lord, I understand
There’s others more deserving
Others Lord who need a helping hand
I pray you’ll guide and keep me
Ever near the light
And so My Deepest Thanks My Lord
Upon this Christmas Night.

I will be spending the next few days with family as we celebrate Christmas

Have a blessed and Merry Christmas.